David Moenning
All About Earnings, Still
Don't look now fans, but the S&P 500 is trading almost exactly at all-time highs on this fine summer Monday morning. Never mind the overbought conditions, the exuberant sentiment, and the extremely high valuations that technicians have been warning about. Forget about the economy slow…
You Knew It Was Coming
You knew it was coming, right? After marching steadily higher, day after day, for the past five weeks, the bears finally got back in the game on the back of a shockingly weak jobs report.
To be sure, the stock market was "set up" for some kind of decline, pullback, correction, and…
Anticipation?
One of the key questions of the day is if the inflation that so many have been anticipating this year is starting to percolate. Or, as the bulls are quick to point out, based on the recent data, maybe it's just not coming.
One of the bear camp's key arguments for why we should not…
Looking On The Bright Side
Here we go again. Over the weekend, new tariff threats began flying in all directions. As in new 30% tariffs for Mexico, Canada, and the EU. And just before that there were the "letters" that went out to various countries informing them of the "take it or leave it" tariff terms. If one di…
Where Our Models and Indicators Stand
Don't look now fans, but the first half of 2025 is in the books. As we embark on the second half of the year, I thought it would be a good idea to review the key areas of analysis for the stock market.
Such a review includes my Primary Market indicators (which are designed to iden…
Here We Go Again?
There can be little argument that the stock market has made a remarkable recovery since the tariff-induced doom days of early April. If my calculator is correct, the S&P 500 has surged +21.95% since the closing low seen on April 7 through Friday's close. And for those of you keeping s…
Should We Worry About War?
The conflict between Israel, Iran, and now the United States, continues to be the focal point for investors large and small. While the bears contend that the escalating war in the Middle East will cause oil and, in turn, inflation to spike, both the markets have held up remarkably well th…
Recession? What Recession?
Greetings from Paris. My wife and I are traveling abroad this week and next, so I'm going to try to keep my reports brief and focus on the key drivers of the market action.
U.S. equity markets finished the week with solid gains, driven by surprisingly resilient economic data and e…
Are Valuations A Problem?
While Ms. Market's game can change at the drop of a hat/tweet, it appears stocks have spent the last couple of weeks digesting the latest onslaught of news from the likes of Moody's, the White House, and the courts. The good news is the major indices have not succumbed to bears' latest ef…
