The Three Keys To This Market

The State of the Market: Executive Summary From my perch, there are three factors driving stock prices to-and-fro these days. First, there is the state of the on-again-off-again stimulus talks, which appear to be a modest positive again this morning. Next, there i…

A Healthy Dose of Patience is Required

Executive Summary: The song remains the same again this morning as the stock market indices continue to be pushed and pulled by the status of stimulus talks. While past and present Fed officials continue to pound the table publicly about the need for additional fi…

How To Play The Digestion Phase

Executive Summary: From my seat, the action continues to be driven by the prospects for additional stimulus. Good news on the stimulus talks produces rallies while disappointment leads to intraday selling. From a shorter-term perspective, stocks are struggling due…

Hard To Argue With Bulls Here

Executive Summary: From my seat, the state of the market depends largely on the time frame lens one is viewing the market through. Looking at the action from a shorter-term perspective, volatility remains high due likely to the uncertainty over the fate of additio…
Understanding The Current Market Logic image

Understanding The Current Market Logic

Given the state of the COVID headlines, the ongoing fighting over additional economic stimulus, the prospect of higher taxes next year, and the potential for a contested election, one couldn't be blamed for a less than optimistic outlook toward the stock market. However, "market logic" is…

All About The Stimulus

Executive Summary: I'm often asked why I keep a 1-minute chart of the S&P 500 on my screen at all times. Since I don't trade on a short-term basis, it can be argued that the minute-to-minute movement of the market should be ignored. However, by watching the in…
Bulls Not Out Of The Woods Yet image

Bulls Not Out Of The Woods Yet

Executive Summary: Last week, I opined that the key to the near-term action was the battle that looked to be raging over the 50-day moving average. While I haven't placed much emphasis on the 50- and/or 200-day moving averages in decades, it appears that the press…

Keep Those Seatbelts Fastened

Executive Summary: The current narrative in the stock market appears to be that with the President and a bunch of WH staffers/Senators having contracted COVID, the chances of a stimulus bill have improved over the last few days. In response, stocks have rallied on…

Bulls Are On Their Own

Executive Summary: From my seat, the primary driving factors behind the stock market action continue to be (a) the state of the economic recovery, (b) the outlook for additional stimulus, and (c) the outlook on the COVID crisis. On the latter subject, the key seem…

The Battle For Control Is On

Executive Summary: From my seat, the key to the action on the chart of the S&P 500 here is the battle for the 50-day moving average. To review, the bulls were able to make a stop at the 3225 zone on a closing basis. This was important because it kept the pullb…