State of the Markets
Stock Market Indices Singing a Not-So Happy Tune
Paul Schatz is filling in for Dave M. this morning. Without further ado, here is Paul's take on the current "state of the markets."
2014 may be young, but so far, it’s exhibiting a very different character than 2013 with the rate of ascent completely flat lining and the high…
2014: Deja Vu All Over Again?
If the stock market action thus far in 2014 has made you a little uneasy, you are not alone. If you find yourself wanting to beat your head against the door, don't fret, you've got company. And if you are spending an inordinate amount of time yelling at your screens, don't despair - the g…
Bears Got It Wrong Again (On Bonds)
As I may have mentioned a time or twenty, I'm not a big fan of basing investment decisions on one's "macro view." Such an approach would appear to be anchored in logic. The first step is to establish your macro view of the world. In other words, you first decide what is likely to happen t…
The Cycles Say "Beware!" (Or Do They?)
Raise your hand if you find yourself longing for the good 'ol days of 2013 right about now. You remember, right? The days when stocks marched merrily higher on the back of an improving economy, record earnings and a Fed that was about as friendly as they have ever been. The days when QE-i…
Free Money Trumps Valuations Issues
The stock market in 2014 has been challenging (for both sides) to say the least. However, the action of the last two days has been especially crazy. And while this market can and often does turn on a dime, we believe the message that seems to be emanating from all the volatility seen this…
Is It 'Time' For a Major Correction?
This report is being written on Sunday, April 13 and is slated to be published on Tuesday, April 15. As such, there will be ample time for the algos to "go the other way" and make the subject matter about to be discussed seem untimely and/or not necessary. However, since the research bein…
No Crisis, No News and No Rumors
For the past 7-8 years, every meaningful decline in the stock market has been accompanied by a crisis, a headline, a rumor, etc. However, this time around, there is no crisis. There is no war, no news, no geopolitical tensions, no earthquake, no tsunami, no debacle in Washington, no polit…
Like Janet Said, We Can Stop Worrying About the Dots
If the current state of the market causes you to scratch your head a bit, rest assured that you are not alone.
Six days ago, the S&P 500 finished at an all-time high. Five days ago, both the S&P and the DJIA moved to all-time highs after the opening bell rang. Then for the…
A Better Plan For The Next Big, Bad Bear
With the blood-letting taking a break yesterday, we thought today would be a good time to continue exploring a simple, yet effective, trend-following system designed to keep investors on the right side of the market's really big, really important moves.
But first there are the cav…
A Plan For The Next Big, Bad Bear
Stocks were hammered again on Monday as the momentum names continue to be punished. The question of the day, of course, is if the huge declines seen recently in names like Amazon.com, Tesla, Twitter, and Yelp will cause the "meaningful correction" in the broad market indices that just abo…