Don't Fight The Fed? image

Don't Fight The Fed?

By: David Moenning

The late, great Marty Zweig, who had a huge influence on my career at a young age, was famous for his approach to managing risk in the stock market. As longtime readers are likely aware, one of his primary rules was, "Don't fight the Fed." Zweig, who along with Ned Davis (another constant…
A Pair of Pivots Worth Watching image

A Pair of Pivots Worth Watching

By: David Moenning

The primary purpose of my oftentimes meandering market missive is to identify the primary drivers of the near-term market action. As I've stated a time or twenty, I'm of the mind that if I can understand what markets are doing and why, staying opinion agnostic in the process, I feel I sho…
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Sigh of Relief

By: David Moenning

Time is running short on this lovely Monday morning in La Quinta, CA, so I'm going to keep this brief. Cutting to the chase, after enduring several weeks of intense selling, stocks enjoyed a bounce last week. Deeply oversold conditions combined with some good news, for a change, created a…
How Much Is Enough? image

How Much Is Enough?

By: David Moenning

The current market is being driven by the headlines. More specifically, the stock market is moving to and fro based on any/all headlines about the state of Putin's unprovoked, unconscionable, indefensible, and completely inhumane invasion of Ukraine. Yet, as we discussed last week…
Blame It On Putin? image

Blame It On Putin?

By: David Moenning

It would be easy blame the recent volatile (or, shall I say, violent) price action in both the stock and bond markets on Putin's war. On the topic, I'm of the mind that what is happening in Eastern Europe is almost unfathomable in this day and age. A country being attacked on all sides. T…
Happy Twosday  image

Happy Twosday

By: David Moenning

Good morning, and Happy "Twosday." As in 2/22/22, which is not only a palindrome because it reads the same forward as backwards, but today's date also consists of all the same digits. The ultimate freakiness for such dates occurs at 2:22 am and pm, so brace yourself for that this afternoo…
Working Through The Issues image

Working Through The Issues

By: David Moenning

Make no mistake about it; there is no shortage of issues to work through in this market. In short, this is what corrective phases are all about - dealing with the "new normal" when things change. Remember, the stock market is a discounting mechanism of future expectations. And I think we …
Are We Having Fun Yet? image

Are We Having Fun Yet?

By: David Moenning

It's been a very busy start to the new year and there are a great many pieces to the puzzle that make up this market. While I am short on time this morning, let's see if we can't run through the host of issues that investors are attempting to deal with at the present time. Let's s…
Two Thoughts Before You Panic image

Two Thoughts Before You Panic

By: David Moenning

Unless you've been living in a cave, you are likely aware that markets are in the midst of a rather violent "reset" as traders/investors reprice things for the changing environment in fast fashion. To be sure, Friday's option expiry and corresponding record day for options trading, as wel…
Markets Rethinking The Outlook image

Markets Rethinking The Outlook

By: David Moenning

From my seat, the key driver to the current action in the stock market remains the spike in bond yields. This morning's early dance to the downside represents an exclamation point on this concept. In short, yields are breaking out to new highs for the current cycle, and stocks are followi…