Daily State of the Markets
Some Caution Appears Warranted
Good Monday morning and welcome back. To be sure, the healthcare bill was a fiasco for the Republicans and will perhaps sow seeds of doubt about the prospects for getting tax reform or a stimulus package done. So, with an abundance of prognostications about what the future looks like here…
Positioning In Front of Big, Bad Events
To market watchers, it is fairly clear that the fate of the current stock market trend is tied to today's House vote on the Republican's healthcare bill designed to "repeal and replace" Obamacare. And while the wranglings in D.C. are often quite complex, the bottom line for the stock mark…
The Trump (Speed) Bump
The "Trump Rally" hit what many pundits are calling a "speed bump" yesterday. While a pullback has been expected by just about everyone in the game, the speed at which the vehicle hit the bump still managed to send passengers flying in all directions. The Dow fell more than 235 points, no…
The Bond Market Is Doing What?
To hear former PIMCO Bond King Bill Gross tell it, bonds have reversed a 35-year bullish trend and have now entered a bear market. This massive bear will purportedly last many years and wipe out tens of trillions of investor capital in the process.
The trigger to Mr. Gross's asser…
The Message From the Indicators Is...
Good Monday morning and welcome back. While spring break season is underway and you may be more focused on getting to the beach or working on your short game, let's start the week with a review my key market models and indicators. Remember, the primary goal of this exercise (something I a…
Lines In The Sand
Here we go again - Fed Day, March 2017. While this is but the first of several central bank meetings this week - the Bank of Japan, the Bank of England, and the Swiss National Bank are also slated to meet - the gathering of Janet Yellen's bunch is likely the most important.
The fu…
While We Wait...
While we wait on this week's big events, which include the FOMC announcement and Janet Yellen press conference Wednesday afternoon, the election results in the Netherlands, meetings of the Bank of Japan, the Bank of England, and the Swiss National Bank on Thursday, and the Brits triggerin…
The Next Act In The Play...
Good Monday morning and welcome back. To be sure, this week's meeting of Janet Yellen and her merry band of central bankers will be the focal point for the markets. In case you've been sleeping under a rock for the past month, note that the markets are expecting the Fed to raise rates on …
Happy Birthday!
Don't look now fans, but the current secular bull market in stocks turns 8 years old today. Yep, that's right; 8 years ago, today, Jamie Dimon stepped to the microphone on the White House lawn and reminded everyone that his bank not only wasn't at risk of collapse, but was actually profit…