Bonds May Hold The Key

The good news is that despite all the worry about earnings and the teeth gnashing about the recent spate of punk economic data, the S&P 500 is hitting fresh, new all-time highs again. The bad news is that, as has been the modus operandi of late, the moves to new highs have all display…

American Pharaoh Taking Things To New Heights?

Dave M. is under the weather and Paul Schatz of Heritage Capital, LLC is filling in again this morning. We are pleased to be able to offer Paul's thoughts on the state of the market and hope that you enjoy his views. The bulls be…

A Forward Look at the Economy

This morning's "Daily State" report was penned by Robert Barone (Ph.D., Economics, Georgetown University), a Principal of Universal Value Advisors (UVA) based in Reno, Nevada and a fellow Investment Committee member with Dave Moenning at C…

Portfolio Impact of One Decent Report

Dave M. is in LA early this week taping a TV segment that will be aired on Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. This morning's "Daily State" report was penned by Paul Schatz of Heritage Capital, LLC. We are pleased to be able to offer Paul thoughts on…

Will the 15th Time Be the Charm?

Well, here we go again. Once again, the S&P 500 finished at what amounted to a fractional new all-time high on Thursday. And once again, the venerable index did not produce a convincing break above the top end of the trading range that has been with us for quite some time now. So once…

It's a Bull Market Until Proven Otherwise

From a long-term perspective, it is worth noting that the current advance in the S&P 500 is now the 2nd longest period in history without a 10% correction and the 3rd longest (but only by a hair) without a 20% correction (aka a bear market). Thus, it is easy to say that this bull mark…

Trend Challenged

With the market having been trend-challenged for quite some time now, one of the things I'm doing in order to try and keep things in perspective is force myself to look at the market from different time frames. But before we begin today, I thought it might be a good idea to review the def…

All Eyes On Global Interest Rates

The big stories in the market at the present time are the recent backup in global interest rates and Janet Yellen's "Irrational Exuberance" moment last week. First, the Fed Chairwoman mentioned in a speech last week that stocks valuations are "quite high" at the present time by traditiona…

Five Ways To Play The New, New Normal Market

As I mentioned last time, I have had a fair amount of time to think about the state of the markets over the last week and a half. My travels first took me from Colorado to Des Moines by car for my youngest daughter's college graduation, and then on to Newport Beach for NAAIM's (National A…

Just The Way The Game Is Being Played

There can be no denying that intraday volatility has been "a thing" during the vast majority of 2015's trading sessions. And while all too often there is nary a catalyst to be found, this was most certainly not the case on Wednesday as traders dealt with a European tank-job, yields rising…