Reasons For The Rally image

Reasons For The Rally

By: David Moenning

That giant hissing sound you may hear at the corner of Broad and Wall these days is the air escaping the bear camp's balloon. Cutting to the chase, the bulls now look to be in stampede mode and have been trampling their opponents on a daily basis. While everybody knows that the cu…
Looking On The Bright Side image

Looking On The Bright Side

By: David Moenning

The key data points the markets received were mixed last week on both the economic and earnings fronts. For example, while Consumer Confidence was up, the first read of Q3 GDP was weaker than expected. And while the likes of Amazon (AMZN), Starbucks (SBUX), and Apple (AAPL) reports disapp…
All About The Expectations image

All About The Expectations

By: David Moenning

The S&P 500 closed out the week just off fresh all-time highs. But, to many investors, the rally is definitely a head-scratcher. So, if you find yourself wondering how stocks can be correcting lower one minute and then back at all-time highs the next, here's my quick take on the situa…
Market Model Review: 10.18.21 image

Market Model Review: 10.18.21

By: David Moenning

The onset of earnings season appears to have energized the bulls as the S&P 500 finished the week closer to all-time highs than the recent lows. To be sure, the major indices remain entrenched in a trading range. But with some good news on the economic front (Core PPI was reported bel…
Looking Ahead: The Correction Will End When... image

Looking Ahead: The Correction Will End When...

By: David Moenning

It is said that stock market corrections are only "normal and healthy" until you are in the middle of one. The problem is it can be tough to see the bright side of the macro picture when volatility begins spiking, prices start to crater (and then recover, and then crater again), and all k…
Market Model Review 10.11.21 image

Market Model Review 10.11.21

By: David Moenning

As a reminder I've decided to make an adjustment to the publishing schedule of my blog/oftentimes meandering market missive. Going forward, the plan is to publish a "Model Review" report on Monday mornings. This will be the same group of models that you have come to know over the years. T…
Market Model Review 10.4.21 image

Market Model Review 10.4.21

Greetings from Ouray, CO, where the air is extremely crisp this morning and the mountains are stunning! As a reminder I've decided to make an adjustment to the publishing schedule of my blog/oftentimes meandering market missive... Going forward, the plan is to publish a "Model Rev…
Two Charts Explain The Action image

Two Charts Explain The Action

By: David Moenning

Here we go again. Apparently the fast money traders and their computers have decided that another fast-moving, violent rotation in the stock market is needed here. So, it's everybody out of the pool in tech in favor of players going all-in on the reopening/value stocks. Got it. To…
Market Model Review and Publishing Update image

Market Model Review and Publishing Update

By: David Moenning

Greetings and Happy Sunday! I am writing to let you know that I've decided to make an adjustment to the publishing schedule of my blog/oftentimes meandering market missive. Going forward, I plan to publish a "Model Review" report on Monday mornings. This will be the same g…
The State of the Market (In Two Bullet Points) image

The State of the Market (In Two Bullet Points)

By: David Moenning

I was recently tasked with providing a summary of the current market environment in, wait for it, two bullet points. As long-time readers of my oftentimes meandering market missive will likely agree, brevity isn't exactly my strong suit. But, I decided to give it a try by accepting the ch…