State of the Markets
Bidding 2021 Adieu
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I try to take some time away from the keyboard at this time of year to spend more time with the family and to recharge the batteries a bit. So, until 2022 gets rolling on Wall Street, here's wishing everyone a Happy, Healthy, and Prosperous New Year!
Now let's review the "state of…
Market Gets Moody Again
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Traders appear to have returned to a risk-off mode to start the holiday-shortened week. The drivers of the move are fairly obvious as Senator Manchin's announcement that he won't support the Biden "Build Back Better" plan and the bad news surrounding Omicron are causing a rethink of the p…
Weathermen Were Invented To...
On Friday, we learned that inflation, as defined by the CPI, aka the Consumer Price Index (which, for the record is not the Fed's preferred inflationary measure), rose 6.8% over the past twelve months. This was higher than expected as well as the highest reading since... wait for it... Ju…
Santa Is Getting Tested
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While there is still time for the traditional Santa Claus rally to begin, the current correction in stocks, which so far at least falls into the "garden variety" category, goes against the positive market vibe typically seen at this time of year.
It would be easy to say that the r…
Learning A New Letter
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Longtime readers know that the primary purpose of my oftentimes meandering market missive is to identify the primary drivers of the market action. The idea is that if you know what is driving prices on a daily/weekly basis then you have a decent shot at staying in tune with primary trends…
Fed Decision, Inflation Data, EPS, and Most Importantly...
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We are on the road heading back home to Colorado this morning, so I'm going to keep this brief. The key focus in the markets has returned to the spread of COVID as new lockdowns have been announced in places like Austria and Germany. With cases on the rise again here in the U.S., investor…
Market Model Update: 11.15.21
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With winter starting to find its way to Colorado, my wife and I decided to head to the desert to enjoy another couple weeks of summer weather. As such, I'm going to let the indicators do the talking this week and next.
So, let's get the week started with a review of the "state of …
Reasons For The Rally
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That giant hissing sound you may hear at the corner of Broad and Wall these days is the air escaping the bear camp's balloon. Cutting to the chase, the bulls now look to be in stampede mode and have been trampling their opponents on a daily basis.
While everybody knows that the cu…
Looking On The Bright Side
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The key data points the markets received were mixed last week on both the economic and earnings fronts. For example, while Consumer Confidence was up, the first read of Q3 GDP was weaker than expected. And while the likes of Amazon (AMZN), Starbucks (SBUX), and Apple (AAPL) reports disapp…